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Saints vs. Vikings odds, line, spread: 2020 Christmas Day NFL picks, predictions from model on 118-76 roll - CBS Sports

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In a span of three seasons, the Minnesota Vikings managed to become a hated nemesis of the New Orleans Saints. The Vikings eliminated the Saints from the playoffs twice during that stretch, doing so with a touchdown on the final play on both occasions. Minnesota visits New Orleans on Friday as part of the NFL Christmas Day 2020 schedule. Kickoff from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET.

After knocking off the Saints with the "Minneapolis Miracle" in the 2017 NFC Divisional playoffs, the Vikings (6-8) posted an overtime victory on the road in the Wild-Card round last season. The Saints (10-4) are making their third attempt to clinch the NFC South title after suffering back-to-back three-point losses against the Eagles and Chiefs. New Orleans is a seven-point favorite in the latest Saints vs. Vikings odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under is 51. Before locking in any Vikings vs. Saints picks, make sure you see the latest NFL predictions from SportsLine's proven projection model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 22-11 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning over $800. The model also enters Week 16 on an incredible 118-76 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Saints vs. Vikings. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds from William Hill and trends for Vikings vs. Saints:

  • Saints vs. Vikings spread: New Orleans -7
  • Saints vs. Vikings over-under: 51 points
  • Saints vs. Vikings money line: New Orleans -310, Minnesota +255
  • NO: Saints are 9-2 against the spread in their last 11 games against teams with losing records
  • MIN: Vikings have failed to cover their last five contests

Why the Saints can cover

In addition to being the team's top rusher, Saints running back Alvin Kamara leads the team in catches (80) and receiving yards (739) thanks to injuries that limited Michael Thomas to seven games this year.

Kamara is two touchdowns behind Kansas City's Tyreek Hill (17) for the league lead, as he has run for 10 scores and hauled in five TD passes.

One of those receptions came in last Sunday's 32-29 home setback against the Chiefs, as quarterback Drew Brees returned from a four-game absence due to lung and rib injuries to throw for three scores. The 41-year-old has multiple scoring passes in seven of his 10 outings and been picked off just four times this season.

Why the Vikings can cover

Dalvin Cook ran for 132 yards and a touchdown against the Bears, increasing his career highs to 1,484 and 15, respectively. The 25-year-old from Florida State has reached triple-digit yardage in three consecutive games and eight overall this season while rushing for a TD in 10 contests. Cook is the second-leading rusher in the NFL and tied for first in rushing TDs.

Justin Jefferson has been doing his best to fill the void created when Stefon Diggs was traded to Buffalo in March. Selected with the 22nd overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, Jefferson leads the Vikings with 73 catches and 1,182 yards while adding seven touchdown receptions. He is eighth in the league in receiving yards after hauling in eight passes for 104 last Sunday for his sixth 100-yard performance of the year.

How to make Saints vs. Vikings picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total. In fact, it's calling for 52 total points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Saints vs. Vikings on NFL Christmas Day 2020? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Vikings vs. Saints spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,900 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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Saints vs. Vikings odds, line, spread: 2020 Christmas Day NFL picks, predictions from model on 118-76 roll - CBS Sports
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