The Bay Area went its first day in a month without reporting a death from COVID-19 on Sunday, but the seven-day average of deaths per day was still at its highest level since early May and statewide, only down slightly from a peak last week, according to data compiled by this news organization.
Altogether, with 89 fatalities from the virus reported Saturday and another 12 on Sunday, it amounted to California’s deadliest weekend of the pandemic. There were slightly fewer new cases reported this weekend than last — 12,725, including 5,889 on Sunday, compared to 13,169 last weekend — but more than any other Saturday and Sunday during the pandemic. Those numbers reflect when deaths and cases were reported, not when they occurred, and don’t include data from a number of counties that don’t issue updates over the weekend. Those delays tend to make Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday the days with the largest increases in cases and deaths.
The average number of new cases per day has been on the rise statewide since the third week of June. However, since a spike after the July Fourth weekend, the seven-day average has plateaued around 8,760 per day, where it has been for about a week. The average daily death toll also hit its highest point — 100 per day — on July 12 but has fluctuated between 90 and 95 since then.
Compared to a month ago, the state is reporting 150% more cases (8,760 per day vs. 3,347) and 50% more fatalities from the virus (95 per day vs. 63). In the Bay Area, cases are up 215% since this time last month (917 per day vs. 291), while deaths have increased 60% (9.3 per day vs. 4.6).
The Bay Area has long escaped the worst of the virus, but that began to change in the past two weeks. Every county in the region except San Mateo landed on Gov. Gavin Newsom’s monitoring list, as cases, hospitalizations and, eventually, deaths began to rise. In San Francisco, the latest to make the list, that meant many indoor businesses had to close Monday.
Santa Clara County went the weekend without reporting a new death from the virus, while San Mateo County hasn’t added to its death toll in six days. The entire region went without a fatality Sunday for the first time since June 20 and just the seventh time since this news organization began tracking data in late March.
However, that came two days after the region’s third-highest daily death toll of the crisis Friday, when 17 Bay Area residents succumbed to the virus; the previous two daily highs came in mid-April. So even after zero deaths Sunday, the seven-day average — 0.91 deaths per 1 million residents per day — was slightly lower than two days ago but higher than any point prior to that since May 6.
The per-capita case rate in the Bay Area is still more than four times lower than Los Angeles County, where an average of 4.1 people per 1 million have died each day over the past week. Los Angeles, where most indoor businesses have had to close as an effect of being on the state monitoring list, could roll back its reopening even further, Mayor Eric Garcetti said on CNN on Sunday.
There have been at least 2,000 patients in hospitals across L.A. County every day since July 6, hitting a new high of 2,332 on Saturday — three times the number of patients in Bay Area hospitals, despite respective populations of about 10 million and 8 million. The 690 patients in Bay Area hospitals was the most of any point in the pandemic, but no individual county ranked among the top 10 in the state, which hit a new high with 6,899 current hospitalizations on Saturday.Six counties reported having fewer than 20% of their intensive care unit beds available: Imperial (92.3% full), Kings (85.7%), Madera (87%), Merced (84.2%), Napa (81%), Sacramento (85.5%) and Yolo (100%).
California’s cumulative case count stood at 384,667 as of Sunday evening, while the Bay Area crossed 40,000 total cases Sunday. In the U.S., more than 3.7 million people have been infected with COVID-19 and more than 140,000 have died from the virus, according to Johns Hopkins University. The nation’s seven-day average of cases hit its highest point of pandemic on Sunday — 66,000 per day.
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July 20, 2020 at 10:42PM
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Coronavirus: Bay Area goes first day in a month without a death from COVID-19, but it’s not all good news - The Mercury News
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